(Note from Mitch: I'm out this week so I've invited a few guest bloggers to write about what they think is part of What's Next? Mike Duda is Partner, Chief Corporate Strategy Officer at Deutsch Inc. in New York.)
With the financial markets as stable as one of Dan Snyder's roller coasters (http://www.myfoxdc.com/myfox/pages/News/Detail?contentId=4566347=1=EN-US=VSTY=3.2.1 <http://www.myfoxdc.com/myfox/pages/News/Detail?contentId=4566347&version=1&locale=EN-US&layoutCode=VSTY&pageId=3.2.1>), gloom-and-doom conversations on Agency growth, advertiser budgets and overall marketing are rampant. True, we must contend with almost certain fiscal haircuts in our sector. It makes sense, though with the endless sky-is-falling talk that is permeating, it’s as if none of us have any control over our inevitably negative industry.
Enough.
By no means are circumstances currently wonderful. It ain't smelling like roses and Virginia, there is no Santa Claus. 2009 is a roll-up-the-sleeves year, and each of us will have to fight his/her tails off to achieve even minimal gains. Darwinism will be in full effect, leaving some businesses and talent to take tough, tough hits while others use this period as a chance to gain long-term advantages. With that in mind, here are 10 predictions for what's to come in 2009.
10) Obama elected. Emotional hope for "change" stirs uplifting consumer-confidence spike, despite significant business layoffs that will hit in January.
9) Sarah Palin will become a verb. When an Agency is leading a new business pitch but then blows it in the final third of the pitch process, executives will internally meet to discuss how they "Palined" the opportunity and attempt to learn from their mistakes.
8) Many "What's Next?" blog readers and Agency heads will seek counsel from the Draper-inspired era that was 1961 with increased "Mad Men" ratings. Heck, ad growth for the decade was pretty phenomenal...but I'll stick with the non-skinny ties, thank you.
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7) The industry will continue its rubbernecking of Enfatico http://www.enfatico.com/.
6) A non-ad Agency wins Advertising Age's "Agency of the Year" award.
5) ***Number Five eliminated due to budget cuts caused by bailout crisis. Please check back periodically. Thank you.***
4) Twitter will transcend social media status, leading the charge for the emerging "Now Web" era that spurs businesses to speed up their operations.
3) ROI will be used exactly the same way as it was during the 2001-03 advertising retrenchment, with the same level of lame, thinly veiled application.
2) Consumers will be cacooning á la post-9/11, but online advertising and commerce will do better than projected.
1) The naysayers in our industry will reap what they sow...as will those committed to making things happen.